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Arthur S. ReberI’ve spent over fifty years living two parallel lives. In one I am a semi-degenerate gambler, a poker junkie, horse player, and blackjack maven; in the other, a scientist specializing in cognitive psychology and related topics in the neurosciences, the origins of consciousness and the philosophy of mind. For the most part, I’ve kept these tracks separate mainly because my colleagues in each have little appreciation for the wonder, the complexities and the just full-bore fun in the other.

But over time these two avenues of my life have meshed. There’s a lot that we know about human psychology that can give us insight into gambling, especially poker and, of course, there’s a lot that poker can teach us about human psychology. It is quite astonishing how richly these topics interlock. I’ll also introduce you to some engaging characters I’ve known – bookies, con artists, hustlers, professional poker players and perhaps an occasional famous scientist.

This site will wander about in both worlds with new columns and articles along with links to scores of previously published ones. Now that I’ve retired I’ve become something of a political junkies and will go on rants on politics and economics,  When the mood strikes I’ll share views on food, restaurants and cooking. Any and all feedback is welcome.

Entries by Arthur S. Reber (293)

Saturday
Oct312015

Language Drifts

Languages change. They have to. In fact, there’s a subfield of linguistics that charts language change. One of the more intriguing discoveries they’ve made is that the changes are predictable — not the specific changes but the kinds most likely to occur and the average rate of change.

Linguistic shifts are caused by some obvious factors like borrowing words from other tongues or having speakers carrying new words and meanings from one locale to another. Other changes are more subtle and involve processes like word-shortening (“until” became “till”; “because” is now “cause”); vowel shifts (in the Midwest “merry”, “marry” and “Mary” sound the same and Bostonians drop the post-vocalic “r,” so that “park” becomes “pahk”, “darling” is “dahling”); blending of dialects (“going to” becomes “gonna”); and dragging of forms (“-gate” is now a suffix denoting scandal). We even get wonderfully odd meanings emerging over time so that a word can be its own antonym (“cleave” can mean to sever and hold onto).

By comparing languages known to have a common root tongue, statistical linguists can make fairly good estimates of how long ago the two began to diverge. Using sophisticated models they are also able to determine which languages have common linguistic ancestors and which belong to distinct groups.

These investigations fall neatly in line with similar models in genetics. Only there, instead of charting linguistic changes, the search is for genetic mutations. Like linguistic shifts, mutations in DNA occur at statistically determinable rates. The kinds of analyses linguists carry out on word, sound, spelling and idiomatic shifts, geneticists carry out on mutations and shifts in the underlying code of a species genetic make-up. Scholars have used these combined data sources to explore the time and rate of human migration across the planet.

All this is quite well known and these two forms of statistical modeling are important and established scientific fields. But, alas, the so-called “language police” keep popping up with their snippy little “tsk-tskings” and criticizing how people speak and write. My original bête noire here was William Safire who wrote a weekly column some years ago in the New York Times. Safire approved of some verbal changes and disapproved of others. He was a well-known writer and essayist with conservative leanings (he was once a speechwriter for Richard Nixon), so it wasn’t surprising that he often bristled at language shifts that he regarded as somehow sullying his native tongue or ungrammatical phrases that leaked in and disturbed his sense of order.

What Safire didn’t grasp is that language change is a bottom-up process. Writers, journalists, reporters, and commentators stick with the forms of language they learned and, when they don’t, their editors correct them. But out on the street, in the bars and community centers all languages are forever mutating and, slowly, the changes leak into everyone’s everyday speech.

So, embrace the new and, when you can, get a kick out of it. Here, for your amusement are a few of the recent linguistic drifts that I’m enjoying.

I love to cook and noticed that the word “caramelize,” which refers to a way of cooking onions and other vegetables, has lost its middle “a.” It is now  pronounced “carmelize.” Note that the spelling hasn’t changed — yet.

“Garnishee ” has shed its final double-ee and is now “garnish.” But the change here is incomplete. In ads for legal help it’s become “garnish” but judges still order a court to “garnishee” a salary.

“That” is slowly taking on a human connotative meaning. “The person who …”  is now often “the person that.”

The count noun - mass noun distinction is slowly being lost and the adverbs used for each are changing. Count nouns are those that have numerosity like “chair” or “tree” where you can have three chairs or fourteen trees.” Mass nouns are conglomerates like “water” or “tea.” Traditionally, adverbs like “less” only were used with mass nouns and those like “fewer” modified count nouns. One referred to “less water” but “fewer runs.” Phrases like “less runs are scored in baseball” are now common.

We’re been engaged in an ongoing gambit where verbs are created from nouns. Rather than “make something a priority” we “prioritize.” Of course, this is old hat (we’ve long “magnetized” and “popularized” things) but it’s expanding rapidly. In fact, we “verbize” when playing another little linguistic trick when we turn a noun into a verb as when “impact” went from being a dues-paying member of the nominal class to a champion of verbizing.

We’re also losing our adverbs and occasionally overextending them. My favorite here is “bad v badly.” It’s not uncommon to hear someone say “I feel badly for him” when the speaker really means “I feel bad for him.” In the first, the literal meaning is that the speaker is not very good at feeling.

We’re losing some of our more awkward singular - plural distinctions. “Data,” the plural form is now used for both plural and singular cases and “datum,” the singular, has just about disappeared.  “Criterion  - criteria” is undergoing a similar shift and again the singular form is losing out. Note also that “data” has become a mass noun. “The data shows” is far more common than “the data show.”

It used to be “different from;” now “different than” is more common.

“Unique” no longer means unique. In fact, it now frequently is just a synonym for special and is often emphasized as in “very unique” or even “very, very unique.” In fact, “very” seems to have lost much of its “veryness” and often is doubled or even tripled to make sure the listener/reader knows just how special (or unique) the topic of discussion is.

“Literally” is making a similar drift and has become a synonym of “very.”  You often hear people say things like “he is literally out of his mind” which, of course, really means “he’s behaving very strangely.” These days, “literally” is literally no longer used to mean literally. And, perhaps, not surprisingly, “figuratively” is being crowded out.

“Ilk,” a term derived from the Scottish word for “clan” was once used to mean sort or type which were both emotionally neutral. Now it has a negative connotation. When someone refers to “The Republicans and their ilk” they are not using the term is a positive way. No one today would say “the Dalai Lama and his ilk” unless they were a rabid anti-Buddhist.

That’s it for today.

Friday
Oct302015

America the Exceptional?

Crazy talk is the one thing you can count on when election time rolls around — though this “rolling around” trope is beginning to seem quaint. Running for major office is now a 24/7/365 thing where the day after a new president is elected the drum beats start up again. I blame the media for a lot of this nonsense. They’ve got so much invested in talk shows, columnists, analysts, reporters, commentators, op-ed writers, editors, opinion spinners, camera operators, etc. that the country’s unemployment rate would soar if we ran our elections like sensible countries, like our friends to the north.

For those who weren’t paying attention, Canada just had their Federal election and the whole bloody thing lasted just 11 weeks and that was longer than typical. A couple of debates, a bunch of lawn signs, a few editorials, insults, bad photo-ops, awkward TV ads and, voilà, a new Liberal government. Piece o’ cake.

Most (all?) of the crazy talk down here has been coming from the GOP where any hint of sanity or any suggestion that the role of government might be to actually govern is attacked as apostasy; where the more outrageous the claim and the more bizarre the proposal the more the blind mole rats of the electorate rush to embrace the insanity.

What the GOP candidates have been saying is simply empty rhetoric. When not demonizing Hillary, bashing Planned Parenthood or insulting gays and immigrants, we get a lot of blather about the gossamer myth of “American Exceptionalism.” Alas, we’re not so great and certainly not exceptional. Here are some numbers. Let’s start with the biggies, the measures that are used to determine how well a country is doing in the basics of life:

Life expectancy: US is 42nd in the world.

Infant mortality: US is 26th

Education (overall): 14th

Education (math): 37th

Education (science): 27th

Health care: 37th.

Childhood poverty rate: 43rd.

GINI Index (income inequality among developed nations): 32nd

Personal Freedom: 21st (you’d think we’d be first; we’re not, not even close)

Now look at the raw economic issues, which most Americans think are the best indicators of how wonderful our country is. Here we’re a bit better.

Overall standard of living: US is 6th.

PPP (Purchasing Power Parity): US is 10th.

But where does America “shine?” Where do we get to wave the “We’re #1 Finger”? Here:

Gun deaths per capita: 1st

Incarceration Rate: 1st

Health care expenditures: 1st — despite, as noted above, being 34th in overall care

No one broached any of these problems in Wednesday’s debate. But there was an intriguing element that slipped in as the evening wended down. Several seemed to grasp that there was, in fact, something deeply wrong in the land. Alas, they don’t/can’t/won’t promote appropriate programs because to do so would be to acknoweldge that government has a role here, that government is, in fact, the only agency that can address these issues.

The GOP strategy seems to be blame Obama and if that fails dump all over the “liberal” media and, if you want to show how “serious” you are, introduce a tax plan that would make a Eco 101 student wince.

I shudder to think that one of the Republican candidates is liable to end up as president and have to really face those numbers that reveal just where America is today.

Thursday
Oct292015

How to Tell a Truthful Lie

The GOP and their truthful lies — is this a version of Colbert’s “truthiness?”

In the third GOP “grown-up” debate on Wednesday a couple of Pinocchio whoppers came out. Most have been dissected by the many fact checkers on the Internet. But four of these fascinated me because they shared an intriguing feature: they sound like they’re true because, in some strange and unappealing way, they are.

My favorite was when Christie, in a rare moment when a Republican seems to accept climate change, bragged that his state of New Jersey is 3rd in the nation in solar energy. This is true. But they used to be 2nd. He lowered the state’s involvement so that they’re now 8th in installations and are headed down. They’ll soon be 4th. He’ll probably brag about that.

Close behind was Fiorina who claimed she’d added tens of thousands of jobs at HP. This is true in the same weird way. After firing tens of thousands of employees because of her initial cost-cutting efforts they then bought Compact. If you now count the employees that came with the deal, they “added” all those jobs.

Coming in third here was Trump who maintained, yet again, that he’s totally self-funded. He’s not. First, the nearly $2 million in funds he supplied to get things started weren’t “given.” He loaned the money to the campaign. Moreover, records show that only some $100k in expenditures in recent months are from Trump’s bankroll. The rest came from outside contributions.

Just missing the money here is Ben Carson who said he has no “involvement” with the drug supplement maker Mannatech, that such claims were “propoganda” — implying they came from some liberal reporter or evil Democrat. He just gave, he said, a few paid speeches and, it was soon discovered, was paid to make a video endorsing their products. I can only guess that “involvement” doesn’t count if you’re paid for it.

A lot of politicians play this game but these folks have mastered the art of telling the truth while lying through your teeth.

Friday
Oct232015

They are NOT Conservatives

The studied boring qualities of the “Great Gray Times” is starting to get to me. With painful objectivity they reported on the truly bizarre grilling of Hillary by “conservative” members of the Benghazi Select Committee. With equally vapid language they reviewed the weird assault on the Republican leaders by the “conservatives” in the absurdly name Freedom Caucus.

I guess I can live with their studied efforts to report events without slathering them with editorial tilt but I would like to make one simple suggestion to the Times editors and to all the media.

Stop calling these people “conservatives.” They are anything but. They have no interest in “conserving” anything. They have no overlap with the values of American conservatism. They are right wing radicals and their platform is utterly removed from what conservatives in America have traditionally stood for.

They are, in fact, Fascists. They embrace authoritarianism and reject any form of communitarianism. They are nativistic, aggressively militaristic, xenophobic and would rule by fear and intimidation.  

Their goal is to reduce government to only those functions that involve policing, the criminal justice system and the military. And “policing” would cover all aspects of life that they determine to be unacceptable including the language used in the schools (see Ben Carson’s astonishing claim that he would eliminate “political correctness” in colleges and universities by banning certain forms of speech) and a woman’s right to make medical decisions about her own body (the House formed another special committee to investigate Planned Parenthood).

All other operations currently within the purview of government would be privatized and handled by corporate interests. All of these oligarchic entities would self-regulate.

Quite a vision, and not one that a Bob Dole, Nelson Rockefeller or even a William F. Buckley, generally regarded as the intellectual father of modern American Conservatism, would embrace.

The radical right-wingers are hiding behind a respected label that is totally inappropriate. They are pretending to be the standard bearers of a political perspective that they lack even the most remote interest in and this linguistic subterfuge is allowing them to be seen as holding a legitimate position that they themselves eschew.

It’s time for the media to stop calling these extreme radicals Conservatives. They’re Fascists. A lexicographical adjustment in reporting is needed.

Thursday
Oct222015

Bernie's Dilemma 

There’s a lot of talk, usually in the form of advice, to Bernie Sanders about how he should conduct himself, how he should explain “democratic socialism” to America and how he should deflect charges from the right that he’s (almost?) a Communist. Some of it well thought through (see piece in The Nation).

Though no one listens to me, here’s my offering. Emphasize the simple fact that America is already a Socialist land.

In the minds of Republicans and devotees of Faux News, “Socialism” is equivalent to Communism. They seem to think that socialists want government to be the primary owner of, using the Marxist term, the means of production. Historically you can find individuals who treated socialism this way but it’s not what’s meant by “Democratic” socialism.

Here the government is in control of a rather specific cluster of programs and agencies that serve the general public — in a host of different ways. These programs and agencies are all found within a group of specific functions:

a. defense and protection (police, military, Homeland Security, FBI, CIA, NSA)

b. education (public schools, state-supported colleges and universities)

c. health (public hospitals, the FDA, CDC, Obamacare, Medicare, Medicaid)

d. environment (parks, EPA, roads, transportation)

e. justice (courts, judiciary, DOJ)

f. support and pensions (Social Security, welfare programs, food stamps)

g. scientific funding (NASA, NFS, NIH)

That’s it. That’s Democratic Socialism. The U S of A is very much a “socialist” country already.

Bernie needs to emphasize this, to defuse the highly charged, negative associations that many have with the term.

Where the radical elements of his message enter is not with these “socialist” components that are hallmarks of every complex, modern state, it’s with his call to, among other things, reduce income inequality, bring back a sensible, progressive tax code, establish effective regulations over Wall Street and the banks and strengthen existing “socialist” agencies like the EPA and the FDA.

The right wing is deeply disturbed by Sanders’s platform, but not because he’s a “socialist” (they’re not stupid, they know that the country is quite definitely already deeply entwined in these socialist programs).

Their goal is to remove these programs and agencies from the government and, except for the military, privatize them.

There is a name for this form of government: Fascism.