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Arthur S. ReberI’ve spent over fifty years living two parallel lives. In one I am a semi-degenerate gambler, a poker junkie, horse player, and blackjack maven; in the other, a scientist specializing in cognitive psychology and related topics in the neurosciences, the origins of consciousness and the philosophy of mind. For the most part, I’ve kept these tracks separate mainly because my colleagues in each have little appreciation for the wonder, the complexities and the just full-bore fun in the other.

But over time these two avenues of my life have meshed. There’s a lot that we know about human psychology that can give us insight into gambling, especially poker and, of course, there’s a lot that poker can teach us about human psychology. It is quite astonishing how richly these topics interlock. I’ll also introduce you to some engaging characters I’ve known – bookies, con artists, hustlers, professional poker players and perhaps an occasional famous scientist.

This site will wander about in both worlds with new columns and articles along with links to scores of previously published ones. Now that I’ve retired I’ve become something of a political junkies and will go on rants on politics and economics,  When the mood strikes I’ll share views on food, restaurants and cooking. Any and all feedback is welcome.

Entries by Arthur S. Reber (293)

Thursday
Jan282016

Things to Fear: Engineered Ignorance

There’s a lot to be worried about these days. One’s specific concerns differ, not surprisingly, depending on factors such as race, gender, age, residence, education and income.

The anxieties and fears that have resonated with middle-aged and elderly, relatively uneducated working- and middle-class whites are those with xenophobic, sexist and racist overtones. These trepidations have been stoked by the right wing.

Others are exhibited by younger, better educated, multi-ethnic and racially mixed groups and include concerns with income inequality, gender identity, poverty and the country’s failing infrastructure. These anxieties have been pulled into the spotlight by the left wing.

Both groups, of course, also worry about each other and are anxious about what they perceive the future could be should “they” end up in power.

My deepest concerns are more focused. What I fear is the growing, systematic assault on science and critical thinking. It is a movement that starts with religion, dresses itself up as some ersatz science and, using a variety of rhetorical devices and linguistic tricks, ends up inserting theological principles based on Biblical literalism into science education.

A few straight-forward things to keep in mind as I lay my concerns out:

a. Evolution is a fact. It is not a theory. Darwin’s model of Natural Selection is the best theory of this fact and the one that has provided the best insights into the general principles of speciation. There is much that is not known and recent advances in epigenetics are both surprising and striking. But none of these new insights undercuts the fact of evolution.

b. The universe is 13.8 billion years old. Its emergence was the result of a rather extraordinary event known as the Big Bang. So far the theory of this event has proven to have considerable explanatory power. There’s a good deal that still remains to be learned. We don’t know where all the dark matter is. We are unclear about how quantum theory blends with the rest of physics. But that’s okay. That’s how science works and none of these remaining conundrums is a challenge to the Big Bang model.

c. The climate is changing. There are reasons why climates change but it is incontrovertible that the recent shifts in weather, species migrations and ocean currents are the result of human activity. We still don’t quite understand the role of ocean temperatures or the impact of a melting tundra. There are also issues with some of the models of warming but these are part of normal science. None call into question the reality of climate change.

In fact, all three principles are unquestioned in science. Evolution is the guiding principle behind all the life sciences. All of biology, physiology, medicine, genetics, psychology and the other social sciences rides on the scientific foundation of evolution. To deny this reality takes a staggering amount of theological hubris and/or a willful ignorance.

The age of the universe is known for a certainty. Its emergence is explained effectively by the mathematics of the Big Bang. All of astrophysics, astronomy, planetary science and cosmology is based on this theory. It requires a childlike closing of eyes and ears to not grasp this.

The changes in the planet’s climate over the past half-century have been so compelling that there is no coherent explanation for it other than it is the result of the build-up of greenhouse gases caused by human activity.

Yet, for reasons that escape a simple analysis, all three of these incontrovertible, foundational principles of modern science have been in the cross-hairs of conservative politicians and fundamentalist Christians.[1] Despite the fact that they are universally accepted by science and, despite their seeming independence from each other, they have been clumped together into an awkward assemblage of “things that must be stopped.” How this happened is an intriguing and depressing tale.

It began with attacks on evolution. While there’s a long history here (back to Scopes in the 1920’s), it’s the recent moves from Fundamentalists that are worrisome. According to the National Center for Science Education, over 65 bills have been offered in over twenty states to compel the teaching of one or another version of creationism as somehow scientifically equivalent to evolution.

A recent article in Science by evolutionary biologist Nicholas Matzke outlines these efforts. Amusingly, he uses a standard model of evolution to show how each these efforts can be seen as the intellectual progeny of earlier efforts beginning with ones based on Biblical literalism. As Matzke notes, these earlier incarnations couldn’t withstand 1st Amendment scrutiny because they blatantly violated the Establishment Clause.

He charts the efforts to slip under the Constitutionalist’s radar. The first was the effort to disguise the theological components by rebranding “Creationism” as “Creation Science.” When that failed judicial muster, they tried re-clothing it as “Intelligent Design” and inserted it into bills offered under the rubric “Academic Freedom Acts” (AFA).

These had some impact on state legislatures and school boards but ultimately were unmasked. The theological, Christian roots were just too obvious to be overlooked by judges with more respect for the Constitution than the Bible. The AFA’s were too transparently stealth creationism to survive.

The serious problems, the ones that now worry me, emerged with a very clever wording of an obscure piece of legislation introduced in the Ouachita Parish in Louisiana in 2008. The bill was called a “Science Education Act” (SEA). It used language borrowed from earlier AFAs that focused on alternative models of speciation (i.e., Creationism dressed up as Intelligent Design) but rather than limiting its scope to biological theory, it included the creation of the universe, its age, size and make-up, climate change and the issue of global warming and directed that all shall be part of a “critical” school curriculum.

Do not, for one second, think that this bill was designed to teach critical thinking in these areas. It was a cleverly written piece of legislation that provided a new umbrella under which to teach Biblical literalism, deny the standard model of the universe and undercut understanding of the science and empirical data base for climate change.

The Ouachita bill was pounced on by Christian conservatives and anti-science legislators and is now the basis for all new bills. Legislators in Montana, Oklahoma, Tennessee, South Carolina, Louisiana, Mississippi, Kentucky and Missouri have all introduced bills based on the Ouachita’s SEA.

Will these pass muster? Will the theological fingerprints alert courts to declare them unconstitutional? Will their anti-science bias be sufficient for them to lose support? I don’t know but this movement is gaining ground and scares the hell outta me.

I’m not naive. I’m concerned about terrorism. I worry about immigration issues. I’m disturbed by the power of money, the unscrupulous banksters, the 1%’ers, the Trumps and Cruzes posing as serious candidates for the presidency. But none of these troubles me as much as the concerted effort to degrade the educational system, to teach transparently theological beliefs as though they belonged on the same page as established scientific models, to dumb-down our students, to push them into acceptance of out-moded tradition and scripture, to turn them into mere vessels into which bankrupt ideas and beliefs can be poured and will be accepted because the real goals of science, critical thinking and rational analysis, have been stripped from the curriculum.

We survived Bush/Cheney (barely). We might survive a Trump or a Cruz presidency. But we will not survive ignorance, especially an engineered ignorance driven by theology and fostered by a major political party. The folks pushing this agenda are all Republicans. No state with a Democratic majority has introduced an SEA. The GOP has become a party of fools.

 


[1] It’s worth noting that this assault on science is peculiarly American. Educated Europeans, Asians, Canadians and the rest of the developed world look at us in bewilderment. If you’re anywhere but in the US you have to look far and wide to find a Biblical literalist or climate change denialist. Alas, among the dozen or so Republicans running for the presidential nomination all are campaigning on a platform of ignorance — with the possible exception of Kasich.

Friday
Jan222016

The Sanders/Trump Common Core

Sanders and Trump both have wildly enthusiastic supporters and, I submit, for the same reason: they are backed by people who feel that their party didn’t come close to fulfilling the promises made or the visions dangled before their pleading eyes.

The GOP promised to undo a woman’s right to choose, to get Christianity back into the schools, to roll back gender equality, force gays back in the closet, defend “family values,” shrink government, reduce welfare and food stamps, defend the middle class, create jobs …. And they have done little to none of it. No sooner do they in office but they go back to being Republicans — supporters of the bankers, the upper echelon, the country-club set — and clearly don’t give a rat’s ass about anyone else.

The Democrats have had their version. They promise hope and change, a rebirth of the middle class, universal health care, support for education, rebuilding the country’s infrastructure, support for the environment, redistribution of wealth, breaking up the too-big-to-fail banks, instituting a progressive tax code. And when they’ve been in the White House, it hasn’t happened.

The folks flocking to Trump and to Sanders are the ones who’ve just fucking had it with things as usual. Those packing Trump’s speeches are mostly poorly educated, frustrated, working class whites who’ve finally seen that their Republican party never cared for them, not ever, not one whit.

Those chanting and dancing in the aisles for Bernie are better educated, idealistic, even romantic. They’re seriously disappointed in Obama, see Hillary as just an extension of the Bubba-Barack moderate, Wall St friendly, pro-business axis that doesn’t really care about the things they hold dear.

So we have an amusing drama shaping up. We could very well have a presidential election with two candidates running on the same platform: “My people screwed you. I will not.”

But, of course, whoever wins will screw their people. They must because the ones on the other side of the chamber will never, ever let them fulfill their dreams. And the winners? The winners will be those that always win: the oligarchs.

Ever Bernie won’t be able to stop it and Donald won’t want to.

And that’s the downer for the day…

Wednesday
Jan202016

Bernie's Single Payer v. Hillary's ACA

There’s an interesting dust-up between Sanders and Clinton on health care. Bernie, predictably, is promoting a single-payer system akin to “Medicare for All” (MFA). Hillary is maintaining that the ACA is working and that we’re better off focusing on ways to improve it, not tossing it out and starting over. She’s also pointed out that Bernie’s plan would be virtually impossible to get through Congress.

Paul Krugman has weighed in on the debate basically backing Clinton. He acknowledges that Sander’s program is a better solution to the country’s health care woes but sides with Clinton in that trying to shift over to a MFA would be horrifically disruptive, would be resisted by those who are comfortable with their present coverage through employee benefit programs and fought tooth and nail by insurance companies.

Well, I have a solution: a gradual drift from where we are today to a full-bore MFA. Begin by lowering the age of eligibility for Medicare to 63 in 2017. Then drop it three years to 60 in 2018, lower it another five years to 55 in 2019, then ten years to 45 in 2020, etc. In a relatively short time you get MFA. During the gradual shift-over phase the ACA continues to cover those who are still below the age-threshold.

The gradual approach gives all parties time to make adjustments in medical care and insurance coverage. Since Medicare doesn’t cover everything, insurance companies could continue to provide plans on the free market for extended coverage and even supply “Cadillac” plans for those who want fuller, perhaps more “luxurious” forms of care (e.g., guaranteed single-bed hospital rooms).

So how come no one’s talking about something like this? Surely I’m not the only one who’s come up with it.

Friday
Jan152016

Fear, Fear and More Fear in GOP

I posted a version of this on Facebook. I’m putting it here for any web-wanderers who aren’t among my “Friends” there. It went up last night, just after the seven remaining dungeon masters finished trying to scare the shit out of Americans. If that’s too cryptic, it was the sixth debate among contenders for the right to be embarassed by Hillary or, deep breath now, Bernie come November.

————————————————————————————————-

I just finished watching what felt like 16 hours of verbal rolfing by a group of right-wing, psychoceramically challenged men (Carly seems to have fallen off the end of the pier of the polls) who aspire to the presidency. A thought came through. What happened to Saint Ronnie? Where was the beatified Reagan? Where did the “shining city on a hill” go? What happened to his sunny (if slightly addlepated) optimism?

I felt crushed by endless pessimism, unending despair. The country is on the road to ruin. The economy is in a free fall. No one can find a job. ISIS is coming to get us. Terrorists are everywhere. We need more guns. Everyone has to be armed against them. America has lost all respect. Our military is weak and getting weaker. Obviously 58% of our national budget isn’t enough. We need to spend more! Evil terrorists are sneaking in as immigrants disguised as doctors and teachers.

Fear, suspicion, distrust, anger were the only emotions on display. Can we please have back our upbeat Republicans. This crew is just a seriously depressing bunch of downers — not to mention that none of them has a fucking clue what they’re talking about.

I’m going to try to be upbeat about this. I refuse to believe that the average voter is stupid enough to buy the line of bullshit that these clowns are peddling. It’s hard to imagine either Hillary or Bernie losing to one of these vortexes of pessimism.

 

 

Saturday
Jan092016

Terminology and Terrorism

I like getting the language right. As noted before, many politicians who slap the label “Conservative” on themselves just don’t rate that term. It’s a label with an honorable history and a sophisticated political theory behind it. Clowns like Trump and Cruz are really aligning themselves with a position known more accurately as “Fascism.”

But what’s annoying me today isn’t what folks are calling themselves but what the media are tagging them as. Matt Taibbi is one of my favorite pundits. He writes, often compellingly, from the left, and this essay is brilliant except for committing that nominal sin.

He calls the Ammon Bundy gang of misguided pseudo-individualists “terrorists.” They aren’t. They haven’t committed an act of terrorism. They might end up in a violent confrontation down the road out of sheer stupidity but they’re not using classical terrorist tactics.

There are real terrorists, mostly in the Middle East and mostly killing their own. Let’s reserve the term for them. Using it for a bunch of well-groomed chaps with polished guns currently freezing their butts off on the high desert plains of Oregon cheapens the term and strips it of its meaning.